NHL Thursday player props: 3 shot totals to attack

Death, taxes, and winning shot props this season.

We hit the Viktor Arvidsson over on Wednesday - and, as a bonus, the Brock Boeser total I tweeted - to push our record to 12-2 on the year.

There's a jam-packed slate of games to pick through tonight, so let's get right into it.

Mitch Marner over 2.5 shots (-115)

Mitch Marner is not somebody you think of as a big shooter, but he's been very trigger-happy as of late. He's attempted 56 shots and hit the net 29 times over his last 10 games.

Marner now draws arguably the best matchup you could ask for. The Rangers are allowing a league-leading 69 shot attempts per 60 over the last seven games. They can't defend a lick and are relying heavily on goaltender Igor Shesterkin to keep them in games.

The good news with shot totals is that opposing goaltenders are irrelevant. It doesn't matter whether you're facing Shesterkin or the guy from the corner store; a shot is a shot whether it goes in or not.

Marner is generating shots at an efficient clip and New York is bleeding them more than any other team.

At near even money, I'm happy to roll the dice with Marner here.

Zach Werenski over 2.5 shots (+100)

Zach Werenski is a shooting machine, averaging 6.5 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal per game over the last 10. He's also gone over 2.5 in seven consecutive contests.

While the Coyotes don't give up a ton of shots at five-on-five, they bleed them on the penalty kill, and only Oliver Bjorkstrand has more power-play shot attempts than Werenski for the Blue Jackets over the last 10 games.

This is not a dream spot in terms of pace, but Werenski is a willing shooter who plays nearly 27 minutes per game. So there's still real value on this line.

Bonus round: Aaron Ekblad over 2.5 shots (-120). The Devils are struggling defensively, allowing shots at a higher rate than everyone but the Rangers over the last five games. Ekblad leads the Panthers in shots this season and there's some extra puck to go around with Aleksander Barkov out of the lineup.

Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.

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