Tiebreaker means Avs need regulation win vs. Blues to make playoffs

If the Colorado Avalanche are to make the postseason, they'll have to get their work done in 60 minutes on Saturday.

The Avalanche close out their regular-season schedule against the St. Louis Blues, the lone team battling them for the West's final wild-card position.

St. Louis currently holds the seed, notching 41 regulation wins and 94 points through its first 81 games. But the Avs aren't far behind, coming in at 40 regulation victories and 93 points.

A Colorado win Saturday would move the club to 95 points, but it must be done in regulation, as awarding the Blues a point in either overtime or the shootout would also move St. Louis to 95 points.

If that should happen, the two sides would remain neck and neck following the first two tiebreakers: total points (95) and regulation and overtime wins (41).

The tiebreaker then goes to the team with the better season-series record, excluding the first home date for the team who played more games in its own barn. Here's how the Avs-Blues series transpired this season:

Date Home Team Score
Oct. 19 Colorado 4-3 Blues
Jan. 25 St. Louis 3-1 Blues
Feb. 8 St. Louis 6-1 Blues
March 15 St. Louis 4-1 Avalanche
April 7 Colorado TBD

In this scenario, the Jan. 25 home game in St. Louis would not be counted. A theoretical three-point game Saturday with the Avalanche winning in extra time would see the point distribution for the season series total four for the Avalanche and five for the Blues.

With such high stakes, the Avalanche could pull out all the stops to earn a crucial regulation victory:

Entering Saturday's contest, Sports Club Stats favors the Blues to make the playoffs, with the team holding a 54.9 percent chance.

The puck drops at 7 p.m. local time in Denver.

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