Conn Smythe Rankings: Oilers duo dominates Round 1

We're only through one round of these Stanley Cup Playoffs, but it's not too early to take stock of who's already asserted themselves with play that's been at or near a playoff MVP level.

Even though the second round has begun, we're focusing entirely on the players' Round 1 output, so we didn't factor Game 1 of the New York Rangers/Carolina Hurricanes second-round series into these rankings.

These are our top five contenders for the honor:

xGF% = five-on-five expected goals share
GSAx = goals saved above expected

5. Igor Shesterkin, Rangers

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Record GAA SV% GSAx
4-0 1.75 .931 3.16

Shesterkin would likely be higher on this list if it weren't for a cupcake Round 1 matchup against a Washington Capitals team that had no business in the playoffs.

The Rangers netminder wasn't overly busy, facing more than 25 shots in just one game. Still, Shesterkin was sharp when called upon, and it wouldn't be fair to keep him off this list because of his opponent. He was the key piece in the only Round 1 sweep. Another strong series against a Hurricanes squad known to throw everything on net could push Shesterkin up these rankings if New York can prevail in Round 2.

4. Cale Makar, Avalanche

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GP G A ATOI xGF%
5 2 7 24:47 48.3

Makar, the 2022 Conn Smythe Trophy winner, has shown he has another gear in the playoffs. The Colorado Avalanche star is tied with Evan Bouchard for the playoff points lead among defensemen, and he's tied with forwards Nathan MacKinnon and Mikko Rantanen for a team high in points. Makar notched multi-point games in three of the five contests against the Winnipeg Jets and logged over 27 minutes of ice time in two matchups.

While Makar's underlying numbers aren't exactly off the charts, it's hard to deny him a spot on this list with the impactful splash plays he made from the back end.

3. Jeremy Swayman, Bruins

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Record GAA SV% GSAx
4-2 1.49 .950 8.59

The Boston Bruins alternated goalies for almost the entire regular season and continued the trend for the first three games of the playoffs. But Swayman impressed head coach Jim Montgomery so much in a Game 3 win that he earned consecutive starts and ultimately got five in a row, including stopping 30 of 31 shots in Saturday's Game 7 overtime victory.

The Alaska-born netminder leads all playoff goalies in GAA, save percentage, and GSAx. Swayman allowed only nine goals in six games while saving 1.4 goals above expected per contest against a Toronto Maple Leafs squad that boasted the NHL's No. 2 offense in the regular season. In a series decided by the slimmest of margins, Swayman is the primary reason the Bruins are heading to Round 2.

2. Leon Draisaitl, Oilers

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GP G A ATOI xGF%
5 5 5 20:16 42.5

1. Connor McDavid, Oilers

Andy Devlin / National Hockey League / Getty
GP G A ATOI xGF%
5 1 11 21:03 69.2

We grouped the two Oilers superstars together for obvious reasons. They could easily be co-MVPs of Round 1, as both dominated in Edmonton's five-game series victory over the Los Angeles Kings. However, we lean toward McDavid for a few reasons.

While goals are harder to come by than assists, McDavid earned the primary helper on four of Draisaitl's tallies in Round 1. And these weren't cases where McDavid touched the puck before Draisaitl went end-to-end, either. McDavid was constantly zooming around the ice and finding passing lanes, putting the puck on a tee for Draisaitl to unleash his lethal sharp-angle one-timer.

McDavid was the more dominant player at even strength when the duo was mostly separated, as evidenced by the captain's superior underlying numbers. McDavid's line also drew the tougher assignments from the Kings, seeing a heavier dose of future Hall of Famers Anze Kopitar and Drew Doughty.

While there are cases for both sides, it's hard to argue against the consensus best player in the world.

Honorable mentions: Nathan MacKinnon, Valeri Nichushkin, Matthew Tkachuk, Carter Verhaeghe, Zach Hyman, Wyatt Johnston, Seth Jarvis

(Analytics source: Evolving-Hockey)

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NHL announces schedule for Western Conference’s 2nd round

The NHL announced the schedule for the Western Conference's second round after the Dallas Stars' Game 7 triumph over the Vegas Golden Knights on Sunday.

Dallas moves on to face the Colorado Avalanche, while the Vancouver Canucks clash with the Edmonton Oilers in the other conference semifinal.

Dallas Stars (C1) vs. Colorado Avalanche (C3)

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Game Date Time (ET) Home Team
1 May 7 9:30 p.m. Dallas
2 May 9 9:30 p.m. Dallas
3 May 11 TBD Colorado
4 May 13 TBD Colorado
5* May 15 TBD Dallas
6* May 17 TBD Colorado
7* May 19 TBD Dallas

The Avalanche have been idle since eliminating the Winnipeg Jets on April 30. Meanwhile, the Stars come into the series with nearly no downtime after going to seven games against the Golden Knights.

Vancouver Canucks (P1) vs. Edmonton Oilers (P2)

Derek Cain / Getty Images Sport / Getty
Game Date Time (ET) Home Team
1 May 8 10 p.m. Vancouver
2 May 10 10 p.m. Vancouver
3 May 12 TBD Edmonton
4 May 14 TBD Edmonton
5* May 16 TBD Vancouver
6* May 18 TBD Edmonton
7* May 20 TBD Vancouver

The Oilers took care of business against the Los Angeles Kings in five games and will have a week's rest between series. The Canucks knocked off the Nashville Predators in a low-event battle that ended with Vancouver winning 1-0 in Friday's Game 6.

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Stars oust Golden Knights with Game 7 win

The Dallas Stars earned a 2-1 victory over the Vegas Golden Knights in Game 7 on Sunday to eliminate the defending Stanley Cup champions and set up a second-round meeting with the Colorado Avalanche.

Radek Faksa scored the game-winner 44 seconds into the third period.

"This is the biggest goal of my career so far," Faksa told the TNT crew postgame.

Faksa also revealed that he told his son he'd find the scoresheet before the game.

"I promised him I would score a goal tonight," Faksa said. "I'm glad I did. I'm so excited to show him the video of the goal in the morning."

Wyatt Johnston opened the scoring in the first period, but Brett Howden answered for Vegas late in the middle frame. Sunday's contest was the fourth one-goal game of the series and the third that went Dallas' way.

"I'm so proud of the guys for how we responded going down 0-2," goaltender Jake Oettinger said after the contest. "Hell of a win."

The stats favored the Stars throughout the series, as the Central Division winners owned 58.6% of expected goals and 58.01% of scoring chances at five-on-five, according to Natural Stat Trick.

Head coach Pete DeBoer is now 8-0 in Game 7s for his career and 2-0 with Dallas.

Sunday's loss marks only the third time in seven years of existence that the Golden Knights failed to win a playoff series. The club loaded up for a run at repeating before the trade deadline, acquiring Noah Hanifin, Tomas Hertl, and Anthony Mantha. Vegas opened the series with a pair of wins but then lost three straight before a Game 6 victory forced a winner-take-all in Dallas.

The Stars were 1-2-1 against the Avalanche this season, getting outscored 20-15 in the four games. Their series is scheduled to begin Tuesday at 9:30 p.m. ET in Dallas.

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