Bik Nizzar and Dan Riccio breakdown the Canucks 3-2 loss to the LA Kings. Hear from Head Coach Rick Tocchet, JT Miller (1:07:00) and Quinn Hughes (1:25:30) post game. Randip Janda and Iain McIntyre (1:28:50) provide their analysis.
The views and opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the hosts and guests and do not necessarily reflect the position of Rogers Media Inc. or any affiliate.
The Vegas Golden Knights topped the St. Louis Blues 2-1 in overtime Monday after a wild sequence.
Logan Thompson denied Pavel Buchnevich's penalty shot effort 30 seconds into the extra frame.
Logan Thompson denies the OT penalty shot! ❌ pic.twitter.com/6q5JNFYjTN
— Sportsnet (@Sportsnet) March 26, 2024
And Jonathan Marchessault buried the game-winner past Jordan Binnington just 19 seconds later when the Blues gave him too much time in front of the net.
🗣️ BIG PLAYERS SCORE BIG GOALS IN BIG MOMENTS pic.twitter.com/yI53FCntln
— Vegas Golden Knights (@GoldenKnights) March 26, 2024
Golden Knights forward William Karlsson lauded Thompson's performance postgame.
"I think the word is clutch," he said, according to Las Vegas Review-Journal's Danny Webster. "That's what we need from goalies this time of year."
Thompson's save was the first on an overtime penalty shot in Vegas' franchise history.
The Golden Knights extend their advantage over the Blues for the second wild card spot to five points with the overtime victory.
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Dan and Bik are joined by Don Taylor of Donnie and Dhali to talk about a potential playoff clinching game for the Canucks, the President's Trophy chase, and more.
This podcast was produced by Josh Elliott-Wolfe.
The views and opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the hosts and guests and do not necessarily reflect the position of Rogers Media Inc. or any affiliate.
Dan and Bik get into The Open on Canucks Central as they discuss Elias Lindholm being deemed day-to-day, Conor Garland's fit on the top line, and more.
This podcast was produced by Josh Elliott-Wolfe.
The views and opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the hosts and guests and do not necessarily reflect the position of Rogers Media Inc. or any affiliate.
Head coach Martin St. Louis will resume his position on the Montreal Canadiens' bench Tuesday against the Colorado Avalanche.
St. Louis has been away from the Canadiens since March 16 to be with his family. The team confirmed St. Louis' son Mason was in hospital due to complications from an injury sustained while playing hockey. The 16-year-old is now in stable condition and recovering at their home in Connecticut.
"I'd like to thank Geoff Molson, Jeff Gorton, Kent Hughes, along with Trevor Letowski, our players, coaches, and hockey operations staff for fully understanding and facilitating my need to be with my family for the past several days," St. Louis said.
He added: "Everyone within the Canadiens organization has been very supportive of my wife Heather and me as we fully focused on our son Mason and his recovery from a hockey injury."
The Canadiens went 1-2-1 without St. Louis on the bench. Trevor Letowski will resume his position as an assistant with St. Louis' return.
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Big show for a big night as the Canucks try to clinch a playoff berth. Irf Gaffar joins Blake as co-host, and the guys discuss the likely absence of Elias Lindholm vs the Kings and maybe beyond, Dakota Joshua back at practice, and Jonathan Lekkerimäki officially joins the Abby Canucks to possibly even play a game before the season ends.
Jeff Paterson stops by from Rink Wide: Vancouver and has lots to say on the eventful practice from Sunday, plus a recap of the Canucks win over the Flames on Saturday, and how the homestead might finish up. Jeff gives us his take on how the lineup might change when Joshua returns, and if Filip Hronek may have his run his own defence pair away from Hughes, now, and going forward.
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Things are heating up inside our fake midseason NHL one-and-done tournament.
In preparation for the Stanley Cup Playoffs, but with the intense urgency of March Madness, we've taken tenets of hockey handicapping and applied them to a made-up tournament to show how early upsets may happen a month from now and what's required for a deep run.
"Ice Insanity" started with the hot team advancing out of the first round. The Sweet 16 came down to which team was more likely to sustain good play for more than one matchup.
Now into the Elite Eight, we know the remaining teams can hold their own. However, at some point, you need a good goaltender, ideally one coming in hot. So, to pick our Final Four, we're looking at who's most likely to steal a game for their team by breaking down the starting goaltender's GSAx (goals saved above expected) per 60 minutes since the All-Star break. With goaltenders as finicky as they are, how one played back in October means little to expectations today:
The Smythe final is interesting because the Bruins and Hurricanes are currently alternating goalies. We picked the better of Boston's Linus Ullmark and Jeremy Swayman and Carolina's Frederik Andersen and Pyotr Kochetkov. Bottom line: Carolina's netminders are playing better.
The Norris final was similarly intriguing as both Thatcher Demko and Jacob Markstrom have identical 0.3 GSAx/60 marks since the All-Star break, but both have also been banged up. Assuming they're healthy, we're going to a tiebreaker: season-long GSAx. Both goalies have been great on balance, but Markstrom's 31.22 goals saved in 2,475 minutes are more impressive than Demko's 24.79 in 2,896.
The most clear-cut winner comes in the Patrick region, where Sergei Bobrovsky has been better than rock-solid Juuse Saros.
In each round of our fictional tournament, there's been one mediocre matchup. Maybe the Oilers will overcome lackluster goaltending in real life, or turn to Calvin Pickard (0.31 GSAx/60), but until then, Marc-Andre Fleury clips Edmonton.
On Friday, we'll decide the finalists and the first champion of "Ice Insanity," focusing on high-end on-ice talent. With scoring chances at a minimum, who's more likely to convert the few opportunities afforded them?
The betting world's dirty little secret is that while there are no bad bets at the right price, the process of discovering a good price is hidden.
Each week, we balance market information from regular-season point totals and in-season advanced metrics - with an even-strength focus - to determine the win probability for each team and the moneyline needed to bet on either side. The idea is to remove the cognitive bias of win-loss records, which can be skewed by outliers like special-team results, poor goaltending performances, and other unreliable events.
You can use whatever parameters you like to decide how much of an edge you need to trigger a bet, but here are mine:
I also have a 5% win probability consideration for a team playing the second game of a back-to-back with travel and a 3% consideration for the second leg of a home back-to-back. For injured players, the player's impact on their team's win probability is estimated.
When the betting markets open up the night before, you can compare those prices with our "price to bet" column to see if you're getting any value with either side's moneyline. There's a possibility that a moneyline moves into a bet-friendly range at some point between the market opening and puck drop.
| DATE | GAME | WIN PROB. (%) | PRICE TO BET |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar. 25 | VGK@STL | 61.0/39.0 | VGK -150/STL +186 |
| LAK@VAN | 56.6/43.4 | LAK -125/VAN +154 | |
| Mar. 26 | DET@WSH | 44.4/55.6 | DET +147/WSH -120 |
| BOS@FLA | 39.5/60.5 | BOS +182/FLA -147 | |
| PHI@NYR | 32.7/67.3 | PHI +248/NYR -196 | |
| CAR@PIT | 57.9/42.1 | CAR -132/PIT +162 | |
| NJD@TOR | 41.5/58.5 | NJD +167/TOR -135 | |
| EDM@WPG | 58.4/41.6 | EDM -135/WPG +166 | |
| VGK@NSH | 43.2/56.8 | VGK +155/NSH -126 | |
| CGY@CHI | 66.7/33.3 | CGY -192/CHI +242 | |
| MTL@COL | 21.9/78.1 | MTL +458/COL -336 | |
| ANA@SEA | 29.5/70.5 | ANA +292/SEA -228 | |
| CBJ@ARI | 42.8/57.2 | CBJ +158/ARI -128 | |
| DAL@SJS | 84.9/15.1 | DAL -332/SJS +451 | |
| Mar. 27 | OTT@BUF | 47.8/52.2 | OTT +121/BUF +101 |
| BOS@TB | 51.6/48.4 | BOS +104/TB +118 | |
| Mar. 28 | CBJ@PIT | 29.4/70.6 | CBJ +294/PIT -229 |
| CHI@OTT | 33.5/66.5 | CHI +239/OTT -190 | |
| NYI@FLA | 39.3/60.7 | NYI +184/FLA -148 | |
| PHI@MTL | 51.3/48.7 | PHI +105/MTL +117 | |
| WSH@TOR | 29.6/70.4 | WSH +291/TOR -227 | |
| DET@CAR | 22.8/77.2 | DET +431/CAR -319 | |
| SJS@MIN | 22.3/77.7 | SJS +446/MIN -329 | |
| CGY@STL | 57.4/42.6 | CGY -129/STL +159 | |
| VGK@WPG | 45.5/54.5 | VGK +141/WPG -115 | |
| LAK@EDM | 41.2/58.8 | LAK +169/EDM -137 | |
| NYR@COL | 40.5/59.5 | NYR +174/COL -141 | |
| ANA@SEA | 29.5/70.5 | ANA +292/SEA -228 | |
| NSH@ARI | 56.5/43.5 | NSH -125/ARI +153 | |
| DAL@VAN | 58.5/41.5 | DAL -135/VAN +167 |
Matt Russell is the lead betting analyst for theScore. If there's a bad beat to be had, Matt will find it. Find him on social media @mrussauthentic.
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To the surprise of no one on the Carolina Hurricanes, netminder Frederik Andersen looks like he's in midseason form despite missing four months with a blood clot issue.
"I'm not surprised, but I didn't know what to expect," head coach Rod Brind'Amour said following Carolina's 2-1 win over the Toronto Maple Leafs on Sunday. "I know he's a great goalie. When you've been out that long, I don't care what position you play, there's gotta be some rust, but it certainly doesn't look like there's any of that."
Andersen has been a revelation since his return, going 6-0-0 with a sparkling .951 save percentage and one shutout. He hasn't allowed more than two goals against in a contest.
Andersen was particularly sharp Sunday, stopping 32 of 33 shots versus his former team.
"It's Freddy. I've seen him do this stuff over and over. The whole team, obviously, trusts him a lot," the Hurricanes' leading scorer, Sebastian Aho, said.
"You never know. You're almost a little nervous for him. After that long of an injury, you hope to see him have a good start, and he obviously has. Ever since he's been back, he's looked very calm. As always, actually. It's huge for us. He's one of the best goalies in the world."
Andersen was starting to play well before he was sidelined, too. He owns a .925 save percentage and a 2.05 goals-against average in 12 games this season and has looked much like the goalie who finished fourth in Vezina Trophy voting in 2022 with the Hurricanes and in 2018 with the Maple Leafs.
However, the 34-year-old is just grateful to be back on the ice.
"It's been fun. You appreciate being back doing what you love," Andersen said. "It feels good."
Goaltending was a question mark for the Hurricanes for most of the season, but with Andersen coming back and rookie Pyotr Kochetkov continuing his strong second half, Carolina boasts a stellar 1-2 punch between the pipes entering the postseason.
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Find year-round coverage of betting news and insights for all sports by visiting our Betting section and subscribing to push notifications.
There are just two games on the NHL schedule to begin the week. I don't see much value in sides or totals, but there are a few player props that caught my eye.
Let's take a closer look.
Arvidsson is an elite shot generator. He registered at least three shots in four of six games this season and in 61% of contests dating back to the beginning of last season.
What I love about Arvidsson is he's also efficient with his attempts. He takes a lot of them and hits the target at a very high clip, allowing him to survive even without a ceiling performance in terms of attempts.
Arvidsson generated five shot attempts or more in five of six games this year. The lone exception came in a contest against the Blue Jackets where he suffered an injury during his first shift and didn't return. Put another way, he registered at least five attempts in every game he started and finished.
That is a key number for Arvidsson. He has gone over this total in 87 of 105 games (83%) with at least five attempts since the beginning of the 2022-23 campaign.
The Kings are within striking distance of the Oilers for second place in the Pacific and played only once in the past four days, so Arvidsson and the team's top weapons should see a full workload.
Odds: -134 (playable to -155)
There was a time when it felt like the Canucks scored five goals every single night and Hronek couldn't keep his name off the scoresheet. But that time is gone.
Hronek's production rates came back to reality in recent months. He has brought minutes and strong defense to the table rather points, which was always expected.
He recorded a point in only six of the past 29 games (20.6%) and just two of the last 20 when playing in Vancouver (10%). Not great outputs.
This is hardly an ideal matchup for Hronek to get back on track offensively. The Kings play a very structured, slow brand of hockey that doesn't lend itself to many track meets.
They rank sixth in expected goals allowed over the past 10 games while only two teams - the Predators and Canucks - have conceded fewer goals, and they don't give up many chances. Furthermore, they play low-event hockey, just like the Canucks.
Hronek should be in for a quiet night offensively.
Odds: -150 (playable to -165)
Theodore has points in seven of the last 10 and 20 of his last 30 overall. He is consistently finding a way to get involved offensively.
I like his chances in an important game against St. Louis. The Blues continue to give up a lot at five-on-five, ranking 31st in expected goals against and shots against over the last 10 games. They have also struggled to limit shots while killing penalties and sit 26th in goals against per minute in the past 10 games.
Theodore plays a ton of minutes at even strength and quarterbacks the top unit. He is a prime candidate to benefit from the Blues' weaknesses.
It's also worth noting this is a nice pace-up spot for Theodore and the Knights. The Blues rank sixth in five-on-five pace over the last 10 and often create environments where the games are free-flowing and shots/chances aren't hard to come by.
Expect Theodore, who has more points than all defensemen but Roman Josi, Cale Makar, and Evan Bouchard over his last 15, to make some noise once again.
Odds: -130 (playable to -150)
Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on X at @ToddCordell.
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