Avalanche earn NHL-record 15th straight regular-season road win

The Colorado Avalanche made NHL history Tuesday night, setting a league record with their 15th consecutive road victory in the regular season with a 7-4 win over the New York Islanders.

Colorado surpassed the previous mark accomplished by the Buffalo Sabres across 2005-06 and 2006-07.

More to come.

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Do the Canucks Need to Add Another Puck Mover on Defence?

Dan and Sat take a look at the Canucks defence and debate where adding a puck-moving defender sits when it comes to the team priorities. They also talk about the possibility of splitting up Quinn Hughes and Filip Hronek, plus Irfaan Gaffar stops by to share his thoughts on the team's play and what could be next.

This podcast was produced by Josh Elliott-Wolfe.

The views and opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the hosts and guests and do not necessarily reflect the position of Rogers Media Inc. or any affiliate.

The views and opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the hosts and guests and do not necessarily reflect the position of Rogers Media Inc. or any affiliate.

October 24 2023 – John Shannon & Richie Laryea

As the Canucks' road trip ends in Nashville, the guys check in on the poll question and where Quinn Hughes really ranks among NHL defencemen. Matt and Blake take a look inside the NHL’s Frozen Frenzy slate of games, and whether it will work for viewers in Canada.

John Shannon stops by, and using his decades of experience, gives his take on the experiment of staggered games on the schedule. Plus, John and the guys go deep on whether the teams in the Pacific time zone are truly at a disadvantage when it comes to winning individual trophies at the end of the season. All the hockey news you need, plus Whitecaps wingback Richie Laryea joins in to preview Game 1 vs LAFC, and to give up his secrets on getting PK’s. Presented by Applewood Auto Group.

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Zadorov calls out Flames: ‘Too many individuals playing by themselves’

Nikita Zadorov brought out the flamethrower when assessing the Calgary Flames' performance so far this season.

"We're trying to figure out our identity. ... The main thing for us, we're just not working as a unit yet," the defenseman told reporters Tuesday, per TSN. "We have too many individuals playing by themselves. We've gotta figure out if we want to play as a team or if we want to play as our own guy."

He added, "We're only six games into the season, and we're trying to figure out who wants to be here, who wants to play for who."

The Flames are currently 2-3-1 on the campaign and just wrapped up a hapless five-game road trip that ended with a 6-2 defeat at the hands of the Detroit Red Wings.

It certainly isn't the start Calgary wanted. The Flames had a transformative offseason that saw them part ways with hard-nosed head coach Darryl Sutter after the team failed to make the 2023 Stanley Cup Playoffs.

"Last season was different. It was Darryl," Zadorov said. "Now there's no Darryl, so there's no excuses. You know what I mean? You guys don't like hard coaches? You don't like soft coaches? You don't like good coaches? Fair.

"It's a new-day league. You come up here, you play hard, and you leave everything on the ice. I think that's how simple it is."

Zadorov added that adjusting to a different system and coaching staff led by new bench boss Ryan Huska is also contributing to the Flames' struggles but believes his teammates have to "buy in all the way" to ease the learning curve.

Huska doesn't think the Flames are suffering from an "individual mentality" or that his players are being selfish on the ice.

"You get into stretches where you want to help the team win or find a way to get a goal at this point in the game, so you try a little bit too much instead of making the smart, simple play," he said.

Huska explained, "The issue that we talked about yesterday is how we manage the puck at times, and that's something that we have to do a better job of cleaning up, and oftentimes that falls on the individual."

The Flames have a handful of question marks on their roster. Elias Lindholm, Noah Hanifin, Chris Tanev, and Zadorov himself can all become unrestricted free agents at the end of the season.

The first domino has already fallen for Calgary, which signed Mikael Backlund to a two-year contract extension in September and named him captain. Lindholm and Hanifin, meanwhile, have both expressed a willingness to stay with the Flames.

Calgary has 76 games left to get back on track, with its first chance coming Tuesday against the New York Rangers.

"We've got lots of time. ... Only one team (in our division) is rolling right now pretty much. Everybody's in the same boat as us," Zadorov said. "So I think we can definitely use some wins."

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NHL rescinds Pride tape ban, will let players use stick tape for causes

The NHL, NHLPA, and NHL Player Inclusion Coalition agreed to allow players to represent social causes with stick tape on Tuesday.

The agreement comes after Arizona Coyotes defenseman Travis Dermott became the first player to defy the league's ban on the use of Pride tape in a game Saturday against the Anaheim Ducks.

The NHL's board of governors banned cause-based jerseys and the use of Pride tape during the offseason. A select number of players opted not to wear Pride jerseys and decals last season.

The ban received notable pushback from players.

"For us - 99% of the guys in the league - it's all about growing the game and making sure it's inclusive for every single guy," Colorado Avalanche star blue-liner Cale Makar said.

Toronto Maple Leafs defenseman Morgan Rielly voiced his displeasure with the decision earlier in October.

"I wish players had the right to kind of do more and be more involved," Rielly said. "As players, we're going to continue to be involved pretty much no matter what the league says."

Dermott isn't expected to face punishment for using Pride tape while the ban was in effect, according to PHNX Sports' Craig Morgan.

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NHL weekly betting guide: What to do without Connor McDavid?

We created the 4% Club last February after culling over moneyline prices for all the games to that point. The group featured players the betting market seemed to believe mattered to their team's win probability on a given night because the club's baseline win probability changed by 4% or more when they missed a game.

As we know, the moneyline is a function of probability. A +100 moneyline means a team is 50-50 to win (before vig is applied to each side). A -150 moneyline means a team needs to win the game 60% of the time to break even. That's a big difference in pricing, but it's only a 10% change in win probability.

We made 4% the cutoff to get into the club because that number is high enough to create a bet if one of those players was out. We'll have the 2024 edition of this group later this season, but here's a bet we wish we could make - Connor McDavid, the reigning MVP, will be in the club.

McDavid played all 82 games last season, so we couldn't compare the Oilers' team rating with him in the lineup to how the market changes the squad's rating without him. Given his singular greatness - as the runaway winner for a handful of awards - we fairly assumed McDavid would also be the MVP to the betting line, assigning him a 10% valuation. It took less than two weeks into the 2023-24 campaign for us to get at least a chance to have that question answered, as McDavid will miss time with an upper-body injury.

The Oilers travel to Minnesota without McDavid on Tuesday, and our rating for each team would give the Oilers a win probability of 52%. You'd likely be required to pay around -120 to bet on Edmonton. Instead, at the time of this writing, the Oilers are +100. That's a 5% adjustment for McDavid's absence.

If you think that's all McDavid's worth to the Oilers' win probability, there's no bet to be made. But if the three-time Hart Trophy winner is a bigger deal than that, the Wild would be worth a play as a short favorite.

The cheat sheet

The dirty little secret in the betting world is that, while there are no bad bets at the right price, the discovery process of what a good price looks like is hidden.

Each week, we balance market information from regular-season point totals and in-season advanced metrics - with an even-strength focus - to determine the win probability for each team and the moneyline needed to bet on either side. The idea is to remove the cognitive bias of win-loss records, which can be skewed by outliers like special-team results, poor goaltending performances, and other unreliable events.

You can use whatever parameters you like to decide how much of an edge you need to trigger a bet, but here are mine:

  • True line favorite of -111 or longer: 1%
  • True line between -110 and +110: 2.5%
  • True line underdog of +111 or longer: 4%

I also have a 5% win probability consideration for a team playing in the second game of a back-to-back with travel and a 3% consideration for the second leg of a home back-to-back. When it comes to injured players, an estimation is made on the player's impact on their team's win probability.

When the betting markets open up the night before, you can compare those prices with our "price to bet" column to see if you're getting any value with either side's moneyline. There's a possibility that a moneyline moves into a bet-friendly range at some point between the market opening and puck drop.

DATE GAME WIN PROB (%). PRICE TO BET
Oct. 24 TOR@WSH 57.2/42.8 TOR -128/WSH +158
ANA@CBJ 42.9/57.1 ANA +157/CBJ -128
BUF@OTT 41.1/58.9 BUF +170/OTT -138
CAR@TB 52.2/47.8 CAR +101/TB +121
NJD@MTL 68.4/31.6 NJD -207/MTL +263
DAL@PIT 49.8/50.2 DAL +111/PIT +110
SJS@FLA 28.7/71.3 SJS +305/FLA -237
COL@NYI 53.5/46.5 COL -111/NYI +135
SEA@DET 49.7/50.3 SEA +112/DET +109
BOS@CHI 60.9/39.1 BOS -149/CHI +185
STL@WPG 42.0/58.0 STL +163/WPG -132
EDM@MIN 42.0/58.0 EDM +163/MIN -133
VAN@NSH 46.7/53.3 VAN +134/NSH -110
NYR@CGY 50.4/49.6 NYR +109/CGY +113
ARI@LAK 32.7/67.3 ARI +248/LAK -197
PHI@VGS 32.4/67.6 PHI +252/VGS -199
Oct. 25 WSH@NJD 35.0/65.0 WSH +223/NJD -178
Oct. 26 SJS@TBL 30.5/69.5 SJS +277/TBL -217
COL@PIT 50.2/49.8 COL +110/PIT +111
CBJ@MTL 46.7/53.3 CBJ +134/MTL -110
ANA@BOS 29.5/70.5 ANA +293/BOS -228
WPG@DET 49.3/50.7 WPG +114/DET +108
SEA@CAR 38.5/61.5 SEA +189/CAR -153
MIN@PHI 56.4/43.6 MIN -124/PHI +153
OTT@NYI 46.3/53.7 OTT +137/NYI -112
TOR@DAL 46.5/53.5 TOR +135/DAL -110
NYR@EDM 53.4/46.6 NYR -110/EDM +135
STL@CGY 41.0/59.0 STL +170/CGY -138
Oct. 27 CHI@VGS 29.8/70.2 CHI +288/VGS -225
SJS@CAR 22.2/77.8 SJS +448/CAR -330
BUF@NJD 38.9/61.1 BUF +187/NJD -151
MIN@WSH 46.9/53.1 MIN +133/WSH -109
LAK@ARI 59.3/40.7 LAK -140/ARI +172
STL@VAN 38.8/61.2 STL +187/VAN -151
Oct. 28 ANA@PHI 41.7/58.3 ANA +165/PHI -134
SEA@FLA 43.0/57.0 SEA +157/FLA -127
DET@BOS 38.8/61.2 DET +187/BOS -151
WPG@MTL 56.2/43.8 WPG -123/MTL +152
OTT@PIT 42.9/57.1 OTT +157/PIT -128
TOR@NSH 55.8/44.2 TOR -121/NSH +149
NYI@CBJ 55.3/44.7 NYI -119/CBJ +146
NYR@VAN 56.2/43.8 NYR -123/VAN +151
VGS@LAK 46.1/53.9 VGS +137/LAK -112
Oct. 29 COL@BUF 53.2/46.8 COL -109/BUF +133
SJS@WSH 35.9/64.1 SJS +214/WSH -171
MIN@NJD 40.8/59.2 MIN +172/NJD -139
CGY@EDM 49.0/51.0 CGY +122/EDM +100
Oct. 30 SEA@TB 44.8/55.2 SEA +145/TB -118
CAR@PHI 62.2/37.8 CAR -158/PHI +196
ANA@PIT 30.3/69.7 ANA +281/PIT -220
FLA@BOS 45.5/54.5 FLA +141/BOS -115
DET@NYI 42.9/57.1 DET +157/NYI -128
NYR@WPG 51.4/48.6 NYR +104/WPG +117
CBJ@DAL 29.5/70.5 CBJ +291/DAL -227
CHI@ARI 43.2/56.8 CHI +155/ARI -126
MTL@VGS 30.6/69.4 MTL +277/VGS -217

Matt Russell is the lead betting analyst for theScore. If there's a bad beat to be had, Matt will find it. Find him on social media @mrussauthentic.

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NHL Tuesday player props: Nylander to capitalize in Washington

We have the first 16-game slate in NHL history ahead of us Tuesday night. Let's waste no time getting to a handful of my favorite props on the board.

William Nylander over 3.5 shots

The Capitals have bled shots over their first few games of the season. Only the Sharks, who should contend for last place in the NHL, have allowed shots at a higher clip during five-on-five play.

To make matters worse, Washington also takes a ton of penalties. The Capitals are averaging nearly eight minutes per game on the penalty kill, leaving plenty of opportunities for opponents to generate shots in bulk.

All of this should be music to Nylander's ears. He's attempted 40 shots through five games - good for a healthy average of eight per contest - and is one attempt behind Auston Matthews for the team lead at full strength. Nylander is also one of the focal points on the man advantage, meaning he's in a prime position to exploit the Capitals' inability to stay out of the box.

This is a great matchup for Nylander at five-on-five and on the power play. Look for him to stay hot and take advantage.

Odds: -118 (playable to -130)

Kyle Connor over 3.5 shots

The Blues aren't a good defensive team on paper, and that's translated to the ice. Only three clubs have allowed five-on-five shots at a higher rate than the Blues.

St. Louis has struggled most with left-wingers, ranking dead last in shots allowed per game to the position.

It just so happens that the Jets' leader in shot attempts, shots on goal, scoring chances, and expected goals is a left-winger.

Connor is averaging 4.6 shots on 8.2 attempts per game this season. He's also much more effective at home than on the road, as his hit rate in Winnipeg was 22% higher a season ago.

Connor should be in for a ceiling performance against this underwhelming Blues team.

Odds: -105 (playable to -125)

Filip Forsberg over 3.5 shots

Forsberg is on another level right now. He's generated 29 shots on goal and 56 attempts through six games. That's Nathan MacKinnon and David Pastrnak territory when it comes to shot creation.

The market has yet to adjust as Forsberg's shot line remains at 3.5 each night.

Forsberg has hit in five of six games and finds himself in a great spot Tuesday to continue his shooting success.

The Canucks rank in the bottom 10 in shots against per 60 minutes at five-on-five, and their penalty-killing metrics are abysmal. Forsberg is the Predators' leading shooter at even strength, and getting him the puck in shooting position is priority No. 1 for the power play.

Forsberg should test Thatcher Demko often in this one and go over the number with room to spare.

Odds: -118 (playable to -135)

Timo Meier over 0.5 points

We backed Meier for a point last time out, and he cashed us out with a primary assist in the first period. I see plenty of reason to return to him against the Canadiens.

First and foremost, Meier remains on the top line with the Devils' best player. Jack Hughes has piled up 10 points through four games and has looked unstoppable.

Riding shotgun with Hughes will provide a ton of opportunities for Meier, who's more than capable of taking advantage. He's averaged more than 70 points per season over the last couple of years.

Meier also gets to square off against the lesser of Montreal's goalies. Jake Allen stole the show in Buffalo on Monday, which means the Devils will see Sam Montembeault.

He's coming off a rough preseason in which he allowed nine goals on just 58 shots faced (.845 save percentage).

Not very often do you get an elite offensive winger playing alongside a Hart Trophy candidate at anywhere close to this price, especially against one of the league's worst teams. There's immense value here.

Odds: -120 (playable to -170)

Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Follow him on X, formerly known as Twitter, at @ToddCordell.

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Canadiens’ Savard out indefinitely with upper-body injury

Montreal Canadiens defenseman David Savard is out indefinitely with an upper-body injury, the team announced Tuesday.

Savard logged 16:54 and had an assist in Monday's win against the Buffalo Sabres. He exited the contest and didn't return after a remarkable shift on the penalty kill in which he blocked multiple shots despite losing a skate blade.

The 33-year-old hasn't played a full season since 2018-19 with the Columbus Blue Jackets. He's missed 40 games over the past two years since signing with the Canadiens in 2021.

Montreal is already without Kirby Dach for the remainder of the 2023-24 campaign after he tore his right ACL and MCL.

The team recalled blue-liner Gustav Lindstrom on an emergency basis on Tuesday.

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