We have a pair of high-stakes games ahead of us on Wednesday night. The Florida Panthers have the ability to punch their ticket to the final four with a win on home ice, while the series out west carries huge swing potential.
Let's take a look at a few of the best ways to attack these games.
Golden Knights (+160) @ Oilers (-190)
The Oilers have been a roller coaster through most of these playoffs. One night they look the part of a legitimate Stanley Cup contender, the next they can't keep the puck out of their net.
We saw one of the lows in Game 3 - the Oilers struggled as a team and Stuart Skinner didn't help the cause - and I expect them to bounce back in Game 4. That's a common theme we've seen with the Oilers over the past few weeks.
They dropped Game 1 and Game 3 against the Kings in the opening round and responded with wins where their offense was borderline unstoppable, posting expected goal outputs of 4.62 and 4.16.
We saw the same kind of rebounding ability earlier in this series. After getting trounced in the opener against the Golden Knights, the Oilers generated 4.66 xG in a dominant 5-1 win.
I don't know if I'd expect another blowout - now mostly healthy, this Golden Knights team is at the peak of its powers - but I do envision a much better effort from this Oilers team.
We know, at their best, they are not just a lethal power play. They're also very good at five-on-five. Playing in front of their home crowd, and desperate to avoid hitting the road down 3-1, I think we are going to see the Oilers put their best foot forward in this game.
Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl are going to get all the ice time they can handle, and - as a team - some anger and extra motivation should help them tighten the screws defensively.
Look for a much better 60-minute effort from the Oilers.
Bet: Oilers in regulation (-120)
Auston Matthews over 4.5 shots (-120)
Matthews put up an absolute dud in Game 3. He didn't record a point for the first time during this year's playoffs, attempted only four shots, and spent most of his shifts chasing play in the defensive zone. It was bad.
I expect a much better effort from Matthews with the season on the line. Prior to Game 3, he had attempted 60 shots over six games while logging no fewer than 22 minutes in any game.
Even in tougher matchups come playoff time, Matthews is generally an ultra efficient shot generator. He can pile up the shots in bulk if the minutes are there, and ice time certainly won't be an issue with the team's season on the line.
He should get as large of a workload as he can handle, especially having benefited from an extra day of rest. Win or lose, look for Matthews to make the most of it on the shot clock.
Leon Draisaitl over 3.5 (-130)
Draisaitl is on a shooting heater. He has recorded three shots or more in each of his last 10 games, attempting at least six shots in nine straight.
He is routinely going over this number and giving himself a real chance to do so every single night.
What I love about this run is the attempt volume - even more so of late. Draisaitl has registered seven or more in five of the past six games, including all three against the Golden Knights.
That is sort of the sweet spot for Leon this season. Of the 27 games he attempted seven shots or more, he successfully hit his total 22 times. That's an 81% hit rate.
I think he can get there again in Game 4. He'll be deployed in more advantageous situations on home ice, and it is essentially a must-win game for the Oilers. They can't go down 3-1 with two of the final three games being played in Vegas.
Draisaitl has logged at least 21 minutes in six of the past seven, with Game 2's blowout victory being the lone exception. He is playing a ton and will have every opportunity to go over this number.
Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.
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