We have a very small slate of games on the docket Monday night, with a battle between two of the top seeds in the Western Conference set to take center stage.
Let's take a look at the best way to attack that game - and the card as a whole - with three bets.
Golden Knights (+115) @ Wild (-135)
The Golden Knights - in their current, injured form - are not as good as their record indicates, especially on the road.
They've controlled only 44% of the expected goal share at five-on-five over the past 10 road games, which is one of the worst outputs in the NHL. Their poor numbers stem largely from a surprising inability to defend. They're giving up a lot of chances.
A recent injury to Shea Theodore isn't going to help improve their process, although his absence hurts more on the offensive side of things.
That's not ideal when going up against the Wild. They've defended masterfully for the vast majority of the campaign. That remains the case right now, particularly at home.
Over its last 10 home affairs, Minnesota has allowed only 8.6 high-danger chances per 60 minutes of five-on-five play. That's the league's second-best rate, behind only the No. 1-seeded Boston Bruins.
Generating legitimate scoring opportunities has been almost impossible for opposing teams. When they do, they then have to deal with Filip Gustavsson.
He ranks fourth in goals saved above expected per start, slotting behind only the tandem in Boston and Juuse Saros. Gustavsson has been a brick wall and should have little problem slowing down this banged-up Golden Knights attack.
Minnesota's defensive prowess should give the team an edge at five-on-five, and it also has a much more reliable netminder. Throw home ice in as a cherry on top, and there's plenty of reason to expect the Wild to take care of business.
Bet: Wild (-135)
Jason Robertson over 3.5 shots (-135)
Robertson is one of the NHL's most consistent shooters at home. He's registered four-plus shots in 62% of his home games this season, including the only one against the Predators.
His shot volume in Dallas is night and day to what it is on the road. Robertson has managed 7.9 shot attempts per home game. That number drops to an even six when on the road.
However, what I truly love about Robertson on Monday is the matchup. His bread-and-butter is shooting on the man advantage, where he ranks fifth in total attempts.
The Predators are one of the best opponents Robertson could ask for. They take a boatload of penalties, having spent more time shorthanded than all but the Coyotes and Bruins over the past 10 games.
Slowing down Robertson is difficult enough. If the Predators parade to the box like usual, it's borderline impossible. Expect Robertson to have a big shooting night.
Miro Heiskanen over 2.5 shots (-145)
Heiskanen's splits are as drastic as you'll see in any defenseman. He's good on the road, sporting a solid 52% hit rate. He's an absolute machine at home, though, having gone over his total in 71% of the games.
Heiskanen is in his finest form right now. He's hit in eight of the past 10 games in Dallas, including six of the last seven. The lone exception came against a Flames team that suppresses shots as effectively as anybody - outside of the Hurricanes, anyway.
The Predators are winning a lot of games right now, but it's mostly been on the back of Saros. At five-on-five, they rank in the bottom 10 in shot suppression the past 10 games. As mentioned, they're also taking a ton of penalties.
Whether Saros steals the show or not doesn't negatively impact Dallas' ability to pile up the shots. I expect the team's two best volume shooters - Robertson and Heiskanen - to be heavily involved.
Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.
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