Isles reap rewards of riskier hockey, McDavid’s tear, and 4 other NHL items

Technically, Thomas Hickey hasn't retired from pro hockey. The longtime New York Islanders defenseman has yet to file the paperwork to make it official.

For all intents and purposes, though, Hickey is retired, and he's already a few months into a second career, having transitioned to a studio analyst role with MSG Networks following his release from the New Jersey Devils during training camp. He works Islanders broadcasts alongside host Shannon Hogan on the pregame, intermission, and postgame shows.

MSG Networks

For a rookie analyst, Hickey, 33, is polished and especially adept at translating on-ice tactics into plain English. His biggest challenges at the moment are learning TV industry lingo and presenting the right body language to the camera. It took a minute, but he has managed to reframe the Isles in his brain.

"I remember saying 'we' early on, and somebody was in my ear going, 'OK, watch the we. You don't want to say we,'" Hickey, an Islanders player from 2012-2022, said Thursday during a phone interview. "And I know (that's the proper approach) because I don't play for the team. ... It's something you try to snap out of."

After our conversation, the Isles lost 4-2 to the Edmonton Oilers, dropping their record to 22-16-2, points percentage to .575, and goal differential to plus-18. New York, which failed to make the postseason in 2021-22, is the Eastern Conference's second wild-card team heading into Friday's games.

"This team is where they deserve to be," Hickey said, before adding that it'll be a "fight until the very end" in the Metropolitan Division. The Isles are in fifth place with 46 points, four behind the third-seeded Rangers.

"It's clear that the bedrock of the team is goaltending, and the team will go as far as the goalies will take them," Hickey said of Vezina Trophy contender Ilya Sorokin (.925 save percentage) and backup Semyon Varlamov (.919). "Through 40 games, they've proven that's not going to be an issue and that's something you can rely on. And they've also proven they can score, too."

Bruce Bennett / Getty Images

The Isles are icing essentially the same roster as last season, but first-year bench boss Lane Lambert has installed a less conservative system than that of Barry Trotz, the coach behind trips to the conference finals in 2020 and 2021.

Backstopped by elite goaltending, Lambert's Islanders are fine with exchanging more scoring chances and goals against for more chances and goals for. The results are promising: The Isles are up to 15th in the league from 23rd last year in goals per game - a 12th-ranked power play helps - while sitting eighth in goals against per game, the same as last year.

To Hickey, the starkest change from Trotz - who he played for - to Lambert, previously an assistant, can be seen in "the aggression in the offensive zone."

"Barry was conservative in the sense that when you're trying to win games 2-1 or 3-2, you don't need to risk having the defenseman pinch down the walls in the O-zone when it's maybe a 60-40 play," Hickey explained. "That's 60% you will get the puck, 40% you won't, and that 40% can really bite you.

"This year, it's a go-for-it mentality, and it's become somebody else's responsibility to fill in at the (vacant) point. You can create so much more offensive-zone time when you do take those educated risks and bets, keep a puck in, and then play in the other team's zone for 40, 50, or 60 seconds."

Lambert encouraging his blue-liners to pinch, and, as Hickey points out, to also join or lead the rush on the breakout, has the Isles ranking first in the league in goals by defensemen, with 25. Last year, New York's rearguards combined for 32 goals over 82 games, which tied them for 21st.

"The team is understanding that, after playing such a conservative game for so long, you can add risk and still win hockey games," Hickey said.

"What's the right amount of risk? I think they're still finding that out."

McDavid's underappreciated tear

Icon Sportswire / Getty Images

Let's talk about Connor McDavid. More specifically, let's talk about the damage he's been inflicting on opponents night after night since October.

McDavid, who turns 26 next Friday and is now in his eighth NHL season, has amassed 33 goals and 42 assists for 75 points in 40 games. The Edmonton Oilers captain leads the NHL in points by 15, primary points by six, and points per game by 0.30. (Teammate Leon Draisaitl is second in all three categories.)

McDavid has been held off the scoresheet only five times all year and has factored in 53% of all Oilers goals. To truly understand what McDavid's been up to over the past three months, consider this: The Chicago Blackhawks have 80 goals in 37 games - just five more goals than McDavid has points.

McDavid's been comically hot for a while now, and I don't think he's getting enough attention. But I get it; McDavid's greatness is nothing new. And like LeBron James, he's never not been great, so we're a bit numb to it.

Lawrence Scott / Getty Images

Assuming McDavid stays healthy, here are three plausible second-half scenarios:

Scenario 1: Continues current pace

McDavid, who hasn't missed a game this season and is nearly averaging a career high in ice time at 22:46, is on pace for 68 goals and 86 assists for 154 points. His best comparable in recent history is Mario Lemieux, who piled up 69 goals and 92 assists for 161 points in 70 contests in 1995-96.

Lemieux recorded 150 points or more three other times. Wayne Gretzky did it on nine occasions, while Steve Yzerman, Phil Esposito, and Bernie Nicholls all hit 150 once. That's it; five 150-point guys in NHL history. And only nine players have ever hit the 68-goal mark.

Scenario 2: Reverts back to career pace

It's possible McDavid loses his momentum in the second half and over his final 42 games produces at his career averages heading into the season.

If that's the case, he'll accrue 21 more goals (0.50 goals-per-game average) and 40 more assists (0.96), bringing his 2022-23 totals to 54 goals and 82 assists for 136 points. He'll still establish career bests in all three categories and likely win his fifth Art Ross, third Hart, and fourth Ted Lindsay trophies.

Scenario 3: Produces below career pace

While less likely, it's possible McDavid struggles. For argument's sake, let's say "struggles" means the superstar produces at half of his career averages.

Under these terms, 0.25 goals per contest over the final 42 games will lead to 11 more goals, while 0.48 assists per contest will yield 20 additional assists. His totals: 44 goals (ties career high) and 62 assists for 106 points in 82 games.

So, McDavid will still eclipse 100 points for the sixth time if everything falls apart from January onward. What a phenomenal first half.

Kings' Kaliyev slowing evolving

Icon Sportswire / Getty Images

Arthur Kaliyev's calling card has always been his ability to fire the puck. The Los Angeles Kings, despite being well aware of on-ice red flags that were turning other teams away, drafted him 33rd overall in 2019 precisely for his goal-scoring.

However, Kaliyev's howitzer can take him only so far. When the puck isn't going in, for whatever reason, the 21-year-old winger must find subtler ways to make a positive impact. His transition to the pro ranks hasn't been seamless, but prior to going down with a lower-body injury on Dec. 20, Kaliyev had been flashing glimpses of a well-rounded game.

"He's realized the stats will come if you do all of the other things," Kings head coach Todd McLellan said recently. "He's added an element of physicality to his game that wasn't there. He's bigger, he's stronger, he's fitter. He's been able to improve his engine so that he can play more minutes at a higher pace. The improvement in his game has been noticeable over the last year."

Kaliyev, who's spent time on every forward line this season, is averaging just 12 minutes of ice a night. He's been active during his shifts, though, leading L.A. in shot attempts per 60 minutes (20.93, 146 total attempts) and sitting second in goals per 60 (1.29, nine total). Both rates are upgrades on last year's numbers when Kaliyev played 80 games as a wide-eyed NHL rookie.

Codie McLachlan / Getty Images

As McLellan mentioned, Kaliyev has ratcheted up his physicality, going from 1.84 hits for per 60 and 6.29 against per 60 last season to 4.01 for and 7.45 against this season. It's a key development, as a lack of physical engagement and slow pace of play were the two main concerns ahead of the 2019 draft.

Is the hope, then, that the 6-foot-2, 210-pounder can evolve from a one-dimensional, trigger-happy forward to a trustworthy power forward who scores, wins puck battles, and bowls over the odd opponent? McLellan answered "yes," before wondering aloud about the player archetype.

"I don't know what a power forward is anymore," he said. "Is a power forward the guy who is running over guys and commanding ice? Or is a power forward the guy that's bombing pucks by a goaltender? Is he established in the crease or does he play on the perimeter and scores? I'm not sure what the definition is anymore. We're at that stage right now."

Parting shots

Sticky business: Trevor Zegras' stick broke mid-shift Wednesday, so he decided to steal one from the Dallas Stars' Joel Kiviranta - right out of the poor guy's hands. The face of the Anaheim Ducks was quickly issued a minor penalty for using an illegal stick. Nevertheless, it was an amusing sequence in a 2-0 Ducks win. (See below.) I found Zegras' postgame remarks especially funny. "Everybody knew it was a penalty but me, I guess," he told reporters with a veiled grin. He then added, "I tried to claim that I found it on the ice, which nobody was buying."

Tracking data: Earlier this week, NHL public relations passed along some 2022 player and puck tracking data highlights. Buffalo Sabres star sniper Tage Thompson recorded the hardest shot in a regular-season game - 101.69 mph on Nov. 8 against the Arizona Coyotes. Ottawa Senators defenseman Thomas Chabot traveled the longest distance in a regulation game - 24,748 feet on March 14, also against Arizona. That's 4.7 miles or 7.5 kilometers. And McDavid skated the most total distance - 1,609,734 feet (305 miles/491 km) over 72 games during the calendar year. Wow, OK, now I'm curious about No. 97's crossover numbers:

Moritz Seider: The Detroit Red Wings blue-liner's points-per-game rate has dropped from 0.61 last year to 0.36 this year. It can be tempting to slap the "sophomore slump" label on Seider, but there's nuance here. How do the Red Wings view the Calder Trophy winner's performance so far in Year 2? "Excellent," head coach Derek Lalonde told theScore last week. "I think the biggest thing with Mo is that he's continuing to play winning hockey. It's not about offense. It's not about what he creates. It's about winning. You can see, in games where he's been really good and we've won, he's been a huge part of defending against their top line and leading the breakout. If the offense comes, great, but it's him managing his game, not turning pucks over."

Takes, Thoughts, and Trends is theScore's biweekly hockey grab bag.

John Matisz is theScore's senior NHL writer. Follow John on Twitter (@MatiszJohn) or contact him via email (john.matisz@thescore.com).

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Ehlers, Wheeler, 2 more return to Jets’ lineup vs. Lightning

The Winnipeg Jets are getting quite a few reinforcements for Friday's game against the Tampa Bay Lightning.

Forwards Nikolaj Ehlers, Blake Wheeler, and Cole Perfetti plus defenseman Nate Schmidt are all returning to the Jets' lineup after stints on the sidelines.

Ehlers has missed 36 games after undergoing sports hernia surgery in November. The 26-year-old tallied three assists in the first two games of the season before being injured. He tallied 28 goals and 55 points across 62 contests in 2021-22.

Wheeler underwent groin surgery in December after blocking a shot against the Nashville Predators. The former Jets captain accrued nine goals and 26 points prior to suffering the injury. He has missed the last nine games.

Schmidt has also missed nine games. The 31-year-old has registered three goals and six points while playing less than 20 minutes per contest for the first time since 2016-17. Schmidt was injured on a hit from Nashville's Tanner Jeannot.

Perfetti has been a pleasant addition to the lineup in his first full NHL season, tallying six goals and 20 points across 33 contests. The 21-year-old has been out for five games with an upper-body injury sustained against the Boston Bruins.

The Jets are second in the Central Division with a 24-13-1 record.

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5 snubs from the NHL’s initial All-Star Game rosters

The NHL announced its initial 32 All-Stars on Thursday for this year's festivities in Florida, with 12 more players to come Jan. 19 after fan votes are tabulated.

The four division-based teams are headlined by a crop of the usual suspects, but several prominent superstars didn't make the initial cut. There's a decent chance some, or all, of the players on this list of snubs ultimately get the nod, but as John Scott and Zemgus Girgensons can attest, fans don't always take voting seriously.

The All-Star Game itself isn't taken all that seriously by players either; some veterans prefer to spend the time off with their families, while the "one representative from each NHL team" rule tends to dilute the talent pool and takes away from the luster of a true best-on-best format.

Major changes to the All-Star Game format don't appear to be on the horizon, though, so without further ado, here are five players we were surprised to see missing from the initial rosters.

Auston Matthews, Toronto Maple Leafs

Mark Blinch / National Hockey League / Getty

Matthews isn't quite having the MVP-caliber season we've grown accustomed to seeing over the past couple years, but he's still one of the game's most recognizable players and elite talents. The NHL should be focused on showcasing its best and most marketable stars in this event rather than appeasing fans of every team. Be honest: Would you rather watch someone like Brock Nelson in the skills competition and three-on-three tournament, or Matthews? The Maple Leafs have a handful of worthy All-Stars this season, but the back-to-back "Rocket" Richard winner is the face of the franchise and has more goals and points this season than Toronto's chosen candidate, Mitch Marner.

Leon Draisaitl, Edmonton Oilers

John Russell / National Hockey League / Getty

The "one representative from each team" format might be most unfair to Draisaitl. What other player could rank second in points and top 10 in goals and have legitimately no shot at being their team's All-Star representative?

When creating the All-Star rosters, Connor McDavid's name has to be the first one written down. Draisaitl's exclusion from the initial lists is an indictment of the format, not the selection process. Any player with 22 goals and 60 points in 38 games should be an automatic participant in the game. Draisaitl has more assists than Pacific Division All-Stars Troy Terry, Nazem Kadri, and Matty Beniers have points, for goodness sake.

David Pastrnak, Boston Bruins

Icon Sportswire / Icon Sportswire / Getty

Pastrnak was left off the debut Atlantic roster in favor of Bruins netminder Linus Ullmark, who is having a fantastic season. That said, no one tunes into All-Star Weekend for the goalies. Fans want to see as many goals and fun offensive plays as possible, and goaltenders' involvement in the skills competition generally feels forced. It's not exactly fair to send out a cold backstop to attempt to stop the world's best players while they try out their best breakaway moves.

Pastrnak is fifth in the league in goals and seventh in points while leading Boston in both categories by huge margins. He's a legitimate Hart Trophy candidate that might not be involved in the league's premier showcase of talent. It doesn't make sense. Beyond his top-tier production, Pastrnak is one of few NHL superstars with the charisma (just look at that picture above) to match his skills, and he should have been guaranteed the chance to show off both at All-Star Weekend.

Mikko Rantanen, Colorado Avalanche

Eurasia Sport Images / Getty Images Sport / Getty

What does Rantanen have to do to get some All-Star recognition? The 26-year-old has just one All-Star Game appearance, coming back in 2019. Not only is he tied for sixth in goals with 26 tallies, he's the only player on the Avalanche with double-digit goals through 37 games.

Rantanen was an All-Star snub last year due mainly to Colorado's unbelievable array of talent. Sure, it's hard to get too upset when Cale Makar is representing the Avalanche instead. But few players have been as important to their team in 2022-23 as Rantanen, and his production has kept Colorado in the hunt through significant injury woes. It's been good enough to put him in the Hart discussion.

If his overall numbers weren't enough, then surely his superb play over the past month should've been. Rantanen has 11 goals in his last 13 games, averaging an astonishing 25:00 in ice time over that stretch. That deserves an All-Star nod, even if it has to come at Makar's expense.

Ilya Sorokin, New York Islanders

Ben Jackson / National Hockey League / Getty

Sorokin has unquestionably been the Islanders' best player this season. His 26 goals saved above expected lead the NHL by a notable margin, which he has done in a league-leading 30 appearances.

Islanders representative Brock Nelson has had another quality season with 15 goals and 38 points, and it's great to see him spotlighted, but he's nowhere near major award discussions. Sorokin is squarely in the Vezina conversation and should get Hart votes if New York snags a playoff spot.

Sorokin has been better than Igor Shesterkin - the All-Star goaltender for the Metropolitan Division - in nearly every statistical category except for wins. The Rangers also have multiple excellent All-Star candidates at forward and defense. Bringing Nelson and Shesterkin instead of Sorokin and, say, Adam Fox is a curious choice.

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Canadiens’ Guhle out 8 weeks, Gallagher to miss 2 with injuries

The Montreal Canadiens announced a pair of absences due to lower-body injuries Friday.

Defenseman Kaiden Guhle will miss at least eight weeks, while veteran forward Brendan Gallagher is out two weeks.

Guhle has been a bright spot for the struggling Canadiens. The 20-year-old has tallied 14 points in 36 games to lead Montreal defensemen in scoring. His 20:46 average time on ice ranks third among rookie blue-liners.

Guhle has already missed three games, last playing against the Florida Panthers on Dec. 29. He appeared to be injured after an awkward collision with Aleksander Barkov.

Gallagher has been limited to 25 games this season due to various injury issues. The 30-year-old has tallied just four goals and nine points while playing 14:12, the fewest minutes he's played since his rookie campaign. Gallagher did not play in Thursday's loss to the New York Rangers.

The Canadiens are in the midst of a seven-game losing streak and are last in the Atlantic Division. They're back in action against the St. Louis Blues on Saturday.

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Kraken assign Wright to OHL Kingston

The Seattle Kraken assigned forward Shane Wright to the OHL's Kingston Frontenacs on Friday.

Wright is fresh off captaining Canada to a gold medal at the world juniors in Halifax. He notched four goals and three assists - including a tally in the championship game - at the tournament.

"We're very proud of Shane's performance at the World Juniors, helping captain Team Canada to a gold medal," Kraken general manager Ron Francis said. "He has a bright NHL career ahead of him with the Kraken and now has an opportunity to lead his junior team as they compete for a Memorial Cup. We look forward to watching him the rest of this season and wish him well."

Kingston is likely to trade Wright to an OHL contender, according to TSN's Chris Johnston. The Frontenacs are currently fifth in the Eastern Conference with 36 points.

Wright put up 94 points in 63 games as Frontenacs captain last season, leading to Seattle drafting him fourth overall in 2022. The 19-year-old pivot has bounced around a fair amount in his rookie year. He started the season with the Kraken but played insignificant minutes and was often a healthy scratch. Wright was then assigned to the AHL on a conditioning stint in December and returned to the Kraken for one game before joining Canada's junior camp.

At the NHL level, Wright's managed one goal and one assist while averaging 8:29 per contest. Since he only played eight games, the first year of Wright's entry-level contract is eligible to slide into next season.

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NHL Friday player props: 3 shooters to target

Thursday was another great night for our player props. Alex Pietrangelo, Noah Dobson, and David Pastrnak all came through for us as we swept the board outright.

Let's dive into three plays that stand out on Friday night as we look to stay hot.

Alex Ovechkin over 4.5 shots (-110)

Ovechkin is firing on all cylinders right now, particularly on home ice. The superstar winger has amassed 83 shot attempts and 51 shots on target over his last 10 games in Washington.

Unsurprisingly, such a high volume of attempts is leading to consistency in the prop market. Ovechkin has gone over his total in six of the last eight home games.

Now Ovechkin finds himself with a plus matchup against the Nashville Predators. They have given up a lot of shots to left wingers this season and can be exploited by volume shooters at that position. We saw that first-hand last night when Andrei Svechnikov (8), Max Pacioretty (6), and Teuvo Tervainen (4) all piled up the shots while soaring past their goals.

I don't expect the Predators to allow anywhere close to the same volume as last night (67), but they have been struggling with suppression for a while. Only the Anaheim Ducks have conceded five-on-five shots at a higher rate over the last 10 games. The Predators are also a highly mediocre penalty killing team when it comes to preventing shots; Ovechkin should get plenty of looks there.

Seth Jones over 2.5 shots (-105)

Seth Jones is on somewhat of a shooting heater. He has registered three shots or more in seven of his last 10 games and six of seven on home ice. He is not putting up otherworldly numbers but is consistently doing enough to have success. Jones has attempted at least five shots in nine of his last 10 in Chicago. He's giving himself a legitimate chance of hitting every single night.

I don't see that changing against the Arizona Coyotes. While they have done a better job of preventing shots of late, they give up an awful lot to opposing defensemen. In fact, only the Ducks and Columbus Blue Jackets have allowed more shots per game to the position this season.

Jones plays a ton of minutes, the matchup is enticing, and Arizona finds itself in the latter half of a road back-to-back. This is a good spot for Jones to produce.

Timo Meier over 4.5 shots (-110)

Meier appears to be turning a bit of a corner. He has recorded four shots or more in eight of the last nine games and attempted at least seven shots in seven of those contests.

The attempt volume is where it needs to be to hit a line like this with any consistency, as is his usage. Meier is routinely logging more than 20 minutes per night.

That's a big part of what makes him such an attractive play against the Ducks. They bleed shots and are arguably the worst defensive team in the NHL. If a shooter like Meier is going to see that kind of ice time in a good spot, he's going to come through more often than not.

Although Meier is better in San Jose, he has averaged 7.3 attempts per game on the road this season. He is generating more than enough to back him away from home ice.

Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.

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Hart Trophy Rankings: McDavid dominating with video-game numbers

Now that the calendar has flipped to 2023, the Hart Trophy race is really heating up.

The leading MVP candidate is playing like a man possessed, even by his lofty standards. But the intrigue arises when considering who the other finalists should be. Some impact players, like Tage Thompson and Sidney Crosby, might've cracked the list if not for those with stronger cases - or in the example of the former, if his team were more firmly in the playoff hunt.

Here are our top five Hart contenders as we near the second half of this NHL campaign:

5. Jason Robertson

Icon Sportswire / Icon Sportswire / Getty
GP G A ATOI xGF%
40 26 29 18:36 60.18

Robertson remains an MVP contender, but the Dallas Stars youngster has fallen back down to Earth a bit since we last evaluated the race. The 23-year-old posted over a point per game in that span, but he's scored only three goals in his last 12 games.

The California-born winger still boasts elite underlying numbers, as only one other player on this list has a better expected goals for percentage at five-on-five in 2022-23. Robertson ranks among the league leaders in both that category and scoring chances for percentage this season.

He's still outpacing his teammates by a large margin, too. He's collected seven more goals and 11 more points than Roope Hintz, who ranks second on the team in both categories. Robertson has scored 73% of his goals at even strength, and he sits among the NHL's top producers in both that category and even-strength points.

However, since reeling off an 18-game point streak from late October to early December, he's primarily been a distributor, registering just three tallies and 11 helpers over his last 15 contests. He's one of the main reasons the Stars sit atop the Central Division, but he'll need to raise his game to get back into the mix for serious Hart consideration.

4. David Pastrnak

Gregory Shamus / Getty Images Sport / Getty
GP G A ATOI xGF%
38 27 25 19:55 56.9

Pastrnak was higher on this list in previous editions, but this slight downgrade isn't by much fault of his own. The Boston Bruins superstar is still producing at an elite clip, with nine goals and seven assists in the 13 games since our last edition of these rankings.

The Czech winger has notched 11 more goals and 19 more points than his closest teammate. Linus Ullmark's utter excellence in goal and the fact that they play for the league's best team hurt Pastrnak's case to a degree, but there's no denying the skilled forward belongs in the conversation.

Strong analytic figures further cement him as a fringe Hart candidate. The Bruins have significantly outplayed the opposition when he's been on the ice at five-on-five this season, boasting stellar xGF and SCF percentages in those situations.

If the pending unrestricted free agent sustains his average ice time, he'd set a career high, and only Boston's two best defensemen are getting more burn than Pastrnak among Bruins skaters in 2022-23.

3. Jack Hughes

Icon Sportswire / Icon Sportswire / Getty
GP G A ATOI xGF%
 39 24 22 19:58 64:01

Hughes makes his first appearance of the season on this list, and it's certainly warranted. Others have more goals and points than the New Jersey Devils center, but the Hart Trophy is supposed to reward value first and foremost. Hughes possesses some truly absurd underlying numbers this season and has been the brightest star for a team that's exceeding expectations.

For starters, Hughes leads the NHL in both wins above replacement and goals above replacement. That's impressive on its own, but he also ranks fourth in the league in xGF% and fifth in SCF% at five-on-five among those who've played at least 350 minutes in those situations.

Hughes has outproduced all other Devils skaters with six more goals and seven more points than his closest teammate. He's also been on fire lately, scoring 17 of his goals in his last 19 games. Plus, he's doing all this at 21 years old. New Jersey had high hopes for Hughes after drafting him first overall in 2019, and the Florida-born pivot is now proving to be one of the NHL's most valuable players in his fourth season.

2. Mikko Rantanen

Michael Martin / National Hockey League / Getty
GP G A ATOI xGF%
37 26 22 23:08 51.26

The Colorado Avalanche have been riddled with injuries this season and might've been outside the playoff picture without Rantanen, who's kept the defending champions afloat and then some. The Finn was huge in Nathan MacKinnon's absence, racking up nine goals and four assists in the 11 games the Avalanche played without their most dynamic forward.

Rantanen has been on an absolute tear recently, collecting 11 goals and five assists in the 13 contests since our last edition. He also leads all NHL forwards (yes, even the Hart favorite) in average ice time this season. Colorado has leaned heavily on Rantanen, and that's unlikely to change with the club still missing captain Gabriel Landeskog, Valeri Nichushkin, Josh Manson, Bo Byram, and Pavel Francouz, among others.

The Avalanche have an effective power play as usual, but Rantanen's doing the vast majority of his damage at even strength. The 26-year-old tops the NHL with 21 goals in those situations, meaning he's buried a whopping 85% of his tallies under more difficult circumstances.

No other Colorado player has even hit double figures in goals this season, and Rantanen has at least a 12-point edge over every one of his teammates. That's partly due to the injuries, of course, but it still illustrates how critical he's been to keeping the Avalanche competitive. The club has lost five straight games, but don't blame Rantanen, who's registered three goals and three assists during the skid.

1. Connor McDavid

Lawrence Scott / Getty Images Sport / Getty
GP G A ATOI xGF%
40 33 42 22:46 55.78

We frequently say the MVP race isn't primarily about points, but when someone's lighting up the league the way McDavid is, anything but the top spot would just be wrong.

McDavid must've seen Robertson's 18-game point streak and said, "Hold my beverage." The Edmonton Oilers captain put together a 17-game run from late November to late December in which he amassed 16 goals and 21 assists for more than two points per contest. He leads the league in goals and assists, and he has a simply bonkers 15-point cushion in the Art Ross Trophy race.

Another development in McDavid's favor is his improved underlying numbers. The otherworldly superstar's analytic figures were favorable but not spectacular in our last edition on Dec. 9. But he's raised both his five-on-five xGF% and SCF% since then, which means his club is controlling an even larger share of the expected goals and scoring chances than it was before.

The Oilers occupy fifth place in Pacific Division by points percentage, but they're in the postseason hunt as they have been for most of the campaign. McDavid typically deserves serious consideration if Edmonton is anywhere near the playoff picture, and that's no different this time around - especially considering how much more valuable he's been than any other NHLer in 2022-23.

(Analytics sources: Natural Stat Trick, Evolving Hockey)

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Devils’ Ruff: Hamilton’s game ‘not good enough’ in loss to Blues

New Jersey Devils head coach Lindy Ruff didn't mince words while discussing the performance of his top defenseman Dougie Hamilton after Thursday night's 5-3 loss to the St. Louis Blues.

"I didn't like his game. It's not good enough for our team to win. You can't get scored against," Ruff said postgame. "I keep telling the team, if you want to play more, you can't get scored against. If you're a young player and want to play, don't get scored against.

"So, obviously I thought he could have been better."

Hamilton picked up an assist but posted a minus-three rating and took a pair of minor penalties while logging a team-high 24:51 in the contest. The 6-foot-6 blue-liner, who's recorded 34 points in 39 games and a plus-14 rating on the campaign, signed a seven-year, $63-million contract with the Devils as a free agent in the 2021 offseason.

But New Jersey's highest-paid player wasn't the only target of Ruff's criticism. With Ondrej Palat returning to the lineup, the bench boss explained the decision to make rookie forward Fabian Zetterlund a healthy scratch.

"Look at the numbers. It's got to be better than that," Ruff said. "If you're not producing, then you better be hitting. If you're not doing either one, then you've got to bring something to the table.

"Look at what (Alexander Holtz) brought the night before, he deserved to stay in. (Zetterlund) needs to bring more. You've either got to produce, or you've got to be a guy that the other team hates playing against."

Zetterlund was getting some early Calder Trophy consideration after popping off for 13 points in his first 20 games this season. However, he's tallied just a lone assist in the 13 contests since, collecting 10 hits in that span.

The Devils have come crashing down to earth after a torrid start, going 3-8-2 in their last 13 games.

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