NHL Monday player props: 2 shot totals to target in Washington

Whew, what a weekend! Shot props went 9-3 from Friday-Sunday, pushing my record to 106-82 for +20.26 units.

Let's stay hot and start the week on a high note with today's best bets.

Brad Marchand over 2.5 shots on goal (-130)

Death, taxes, and betting over on Brad Marchand shot totals. He's scorching-hot, having registered at least three shots on target in nine of the last 10 games.

Most nights, it's not even much of a sweat. Marchand has recorded four or more shots eight times in the last 10 while averaging 4.3 during that span.

His best work has come on home soil, but he's not exactly a slouch on the road. Marchand has registered four shots or more in six of his last eight games away from TD Garden.

The Washington Capitals are far from a preferred target - they're good at limiting shots - but Marchand has routinely recorded four or more since David Pastrnak was taken off his line. Three is a very achievable number regardless of the opponent.

Marchand has been very good to us, so we're going to ride the hot hand again in this one.

John Carlson over 2.5 shots on goal (-105)

John Carlson is another guy who's been featured prominently in this space of late, and for good reason!

Carlson has recorded three shots or more in seven of his last 10 games. He's averaged 6.3 attempts in that span, putting him behind only Alex Ovechkin on the Capitals.

Put another way, Carlson only needs to hit the target around half the time with the volume in which he's attempting shots.

I expect him to do just that in a matchup that's treated him surprisingly well over the years. Carlson has recorded three shots or more in eight of his last 11 games against the Boston Bruins.

At near even money, I'll happily take my chances and back him to do so once again.

Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.

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