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Here is a look at the Squad Up daily NHL fantasy picture for Thursday, Jan. 5 (all advanced statistics courtesy of Corsica.Hockey and apply to 5v5 situations):
Goalie Breakdown
- TARGET - Jake Allen (89K), Blues (vs. Hurricanes): Allen struggled through most of December, finishing the month with a .892 save percentage. He rebounded Monday, stopping 22 of the 23 shots he faced from the Chicago Blackhawks. Hurricanes G Cam Ward's road splits give Allen an excellent chance to get the win bonus.
- BARGAIN - Peter Budaj (81K), Kings (vs. Red Wings): The Red Wings have lost two in a row, and their expected goals for per 60 minutes of 2.26 is the seventh-worst in the league. The Kings' defensive system prevents Budaj from having to face a lot of shots, helping him during a stretch of eight games in which he allowed no more than two goals.
- FADE - Andrei Vasilevskiy (100K), Lightning (vs. Predators): Vasilevskiy's the most expensive goalie on the slate, and while he's at home, he's facing a very dangerous offense. He allowed at least three goals in three of his past four home starts, doing away with another significant advantage.
- CONTRARIAN - Corey Crawford (99K), Blackhawks (vs. Sabres): Crawford's been somewhat shaky in four games since returning from injury. Chicago has gone just 1-2-1 in those games, and Crawford allowed a total of 10 goals. He did make at least 30 saves in each game, giving him a high floor against a bad offense.
Bargain Plays
- D Zach Werenski (25K), Blue Jackets (at Capitals): Werenski tallied just a single shot on goal in each of his past three games, but he managed to record three assists, with all three coming on the power play. His time on ice totals have dipped since the holiday break, but he remains heavily featured on the power play and isn't worthy of the minimum salary.
- RW Kevin Labanc (26K), Sharks (vs. Wild): Labanc continues skating with C Logan Couture and RW Mikkel Boedker at 5v5. His ice time has ranged from 13:29 to 16:32 over his past six games with time on the power play. He has totaled 13 SOG, three goals and two assists.
- LW Kevin Fiala (28K), Predators (at Lightning): Fiala has been taking more shots since a role change made him the predominant shooter on a third line with C Mike Ribeiro and RW Craig Smith. While his eight shots Dec. 29, against the Blackhawks, are the standout, he has five more SOG in two games since, scoring one goal. His inconsistent ice time keeps his salary low, while a struggling goaltender provides upside.
Top Fades
- C Connor McDavid (76K), Oilers (at Bruins): McDavid has scored in two of his past four games, picking up a total of three points while racking up 15 shots on goal. He topped 22 minutes in three of the four games. He has one of the league's toughest matchups Thursday night, as he'll face a Bruins team that will have the advantage of last change. He'll see a lot of C Patrice Bergeron.
- LW Thomas Vanek (54K), Red Wings (at Kings): Vanek registered at least three shots on goal in four of his past five games, scoring twice and picking up an assist. No team allows fewer shot attempts per 60 minutes than the Kings, taking away Vanek's high floor.
- D Duncan Keith (52K), Blackhawks (vs. Sabres): Keith is the second-most expensive defenseman on the slate, but he doesn't have a high enough floor to justify the salary. He has just seven SOG, three hits and six blocked shots over his past four games.
Contrarian Options
- RW Sebastian Aho (52K), Hurricanes (at Blues): Aho's two goals in his past two games have bumped him up to an adequate total of eight for the season. He faces a tough matchup Thursday, likely deterring most prospective owners. He has totaled 18 shots on goal over his past four games, and has played no less than 17:41 over his last five. He has the floor and opportunity.
- LW Patrick Maroon (34K), Oilers (at Bruins): Maroon's significantly less expensive than linemates McDavid and C Leon Draisaitl. His more physical style provides the high floor necessary for a matchup against the top line of the opposing Bruins. Should his linemates be able to generate some offense, he should be a factor.
- RW Marian Gaborik (33K), Kings (vs. Red Wings): Gaborik's offensive production, or lack thereof, continues to defy his excellent analytic numbers. He doesn't have a point since scoring a goal Dec. 12, but he remains in a first-line role with power-play time. A matchup against Red Wings' third-string G Jared Coreau could help.
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