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Here is a look at the Squad Up daily NHL fantasy picture for Tuesday, Jan. 24 (all advanced statistics courtesy of Corsica.Hockey and apply to 5v5 situations):
Dynamic Duos
- LW Brad Marchand (70K) & RW David Pastrnak (67K), Bruins (vs. Red Wings): The Red Wings rank 27th in the NHL with an average of 9.87 scoring chances allowed per 60 minutes. They also rank 25th with 61.23 opponent shot attempts allowed per 60 minutes. The Bruins' top line, centered by Patrice Bergeron, averages 8.14 scoring chances per 60 and 2.86 expected goals per 60 minutes.
- C Boone Jenner (34K) & RW Cam Atkinson (53K), Blue Jackets (at Islanders): Only two teams allow more opponent shot attempts per 60 minutes when at home than the Islanders 62.02 allowed. The Blue Jackets' second line, centered by Brandon Dubinsky with Jenner on the left wing, averages 58.76 shot attempts and 8.04 scoring chances per 60.
- C Derick Brassard (51K) & RW Mark Stone (58K), Senators (vs. Capitals): Brassard, Stone and C Zack Smith have served as Ottawa's second-most common trio with Smith skating on the left side. Washington's second line of LW Marcus Johansson, C Evgeny Kuznetsov and RW Justin Williams own a Corsi For rating below 49 percent. The Senators' trio has a possession rate of 56.64 percent.
Goalie Breakdown
- TARGET - Matt Murray (95K), Penguins (vs. Blues): Should Murray not receive Tuesday's start, sub-in Marc-Andre Fleury once he's listed as the replacement. The Blues rank just 19th in expected goals and scoring chances for per 60 while on the road. Murray allowed just one goal in each of his past three road starts, making a single-game high of 44 saves on 45 shots.
- BARGAIN - Sergei Bobrovsky (78K), Blue Jackets (at Islanders): Bobrovsky has allowed more than two goals in just one of his past seven starts. He has made more than 30 saves just once and has faced 30-plus shots just twice. The Islanders average 9.43 scoring chances per 60 while at home, but they have a more modest 2.71 expected goals for.
- FADE - Philipp Grubauer (75K), Capitals (at Senators): While the Senators own one of the league's worst Corsi For ratings as a team, three of their four current forward lines average more than 50 shot attempts per 60 minutes. Grubauer has allowed three goals in each of his past two road games, stopping just 40 of 46 shots.
- CONTRARIAN - Devan Dubnyk (79K), Wild (at Stars): The disappointing Stars still rank fourth in shot attempts, sixth in expected goals for, and eighth in scoring chances for per 60 minutes when on home ice. Dubnyk is nearing the end of his worst month of the season, as he has allowed 18 goals in seven games. It's an opportunity to roster him at a rare low salary and ownership.
Bargain Plays
- D Jared Spurgeon (25K), Wild (at Stars): Spurgeon has averaged 25:07 of ice time over his past 15 games, playing over 21 minutes in all but one game. He has five goals and five assists during the breakout stretch, but it's his multiple hits in six of his previous seven games which almost assures him of reaching his very low requirements at the minimum salary.
- C Tanner Kero (26K), Blackhawks (vs. Lightning): Kero has compiled three goals and three assists in January, while primarily centering LW Vince Hinostroza and RW Marian Hossa. The Lightning rank in the bottom half of the league in both opponent shot attempts and scoring chances allowed per 60 minutes when on the road. Kero has at least one hit in all but two games this year.
- LW Phillip Danault (25K), Canadiens (vs. Flames): Danault has topped 15 minutes of ice time in 14 consecutive games while primarily centering the Canadiens' top line. He had at least one shot on goal in all but four of those games, totaling 19 SOG. Calgary ranks 19th in the league, allowing 8.14 opponent scoring chances per 60 minutes.
Top Fades
- D Erik Karlsson (54K), Senators (vs. Capitals): As the flu continues to cycle through the NHL, Senators LW Mike Hoffman will be a game-time decision Tuesday, handicapping the potential for all of their offensive stars. Karlsson hasn't scored in 18 consecutive games, and he has averaged less than two SOG per game during the stretch.
- LW Jamie Benn (69K), Stars (vs. Wild): Benn hasn't reached 20 minutes of ice time in six consecutive games, remaining on a line with C Cody Eakin and RW Patrick Eaves. He has two goals and two assists in his past five outings, but a tough matchup against the Wild and G Devan Dubnyk will limit his opportunities in restricted ice time.
- RW Nikita Kucherov (70K), Lightning (at Blackhawks): Kucherov has gone without a goal for five consecutive games, totaling 14 SOG during the stretch. He isn't a consistent source of either hits or blocked shots, indicating his low floor when not producing offensively. The Blackhawks finish 38.02 percent of all shifts in the offensive zone and just 33.69 in the defensive end.
Contrarian Options
- C Ryan Johansen (56K), Predators (vs. Sabres): Johansen has found the offensive side of his game once again, recording a goal and four assists in his past two outings. He has tallied four SOG in each of his past two games. While low hit and blocked shot totals provide an extremely low floor, the Sabres are typically a strong target when in search of offense.
- D P.K. Subban (46K), Predators (vs. Sabres): Subban's salary is still suppressed for his third game back from injury. He played an additional 40 seconds of ice time in his second game back, showing the coaching staff's trust in his health. He's now back up to game speed and an ideal contrarian target before his offensive numbers start to pile up once again.
- LW Evander Kane (36K), Sabres (at Predators): Sticking with the same game but moving to the opposite side of the ice, Kane is one of the top Sabres to target Tuesday. He has a goal and two assists in his past three games, but it's his 47 SOG in the past 13 games which owners should be clamoring for. He has chipped in as many as five hits and twice recorded two blocked shots.
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